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Riset XM - 20 menit yang lalu

How will the US elections impact the markets?

Harris takes the lead in most polls as Trump’s campaign stalls But what does a Harris win mean for stocks and the US dollar? Can Trump turn things around and what would investors prefer? Late entry The US presidential election is drawing ever closer and there can be no doubt that the race heated up after President Joe Biden abruptly dropped out.
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Riset XM - 3 jam yang lalu

Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Riset XM - 4 jam yang laluBullish

Technical Analysis – US 30 index records another all-time high

US 30 posts several days of gains Price holds near upper band of ascending channel Stochastic looks overbought The US 30 cash index experienced a new all-time high during Monday’s session touching the 41,740 level. The price completed four consecutive green days following the strong rebound off the 40,000 psychological mark and continues to hold near the upper boundary of the upward sloping channel.
Riset XM - 4 jam yang lalu

Quick Brief – Oil pulls back as traders lock gaze on Fed

Supply concerns help oil recover But demand worries are far from vanished Traders liquidate positions ahead of Fed meeting Oil prices have been in a recovery mode since Wednesday, perhaps on supply concerns after Hurricane Francine hit the US Gulf of Mexico, as well as expectations of lower US crude stockpiles. That said, prices are pulling back today, perhaps as participants considered the aforementioned developments as temporary variables in the oil equation, remaining worried a
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Riset XM - 5 jam yang lalu

Is the BoJ on hold until December's meeting? – Preview

BoJ expects no change Ueda comments may provide insight USDJPY remains above 140.00 despite a severe sell-off BoJ interest rate decision on Friday at 03:00 GMT BoJ decision to keep interest rate steady At its meeting on Friday, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is anticipated to keep its monetary policy position unchanged.  Most market watchers expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its target range for short-term interest rates at 0% to 1%.
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Riset XM - 5 jam yang lalu

Daily Comment – Stocks extend gains as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected US retail sales today could prolong dollar’s weakness Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop 50bps Fed rate cut is now the main scenario Markets continue to dance to the tune of Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Chances of a 50bps rate cut got a strong boost yesterday with the market currently pricing in a 67% probability that history will repeat itself and the Fed wi
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Riset XM - 5 jam yang laluBullish

Technical Analysis – Will EURUSD take its bullish chances?

EURUSD slows pace after a quick bounce to 1.1135 Short-term trendline in focus; technical bias remains positive US retail sales due at 12:30 GMT   EURUSD started the week on the right foot, finishing Monday’s session comfortably higher, though around the short-term resistance trendline at 1.1135, which poses a risk. The pair is currently lacking momentum, but the bulls are still in town according to the technical indicators.
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Riset XM - 6 jam yang lalu

Will the Fed cut by 25 bps or 50 bps? – Preview

Fed is expected to cut rates, but is it too late to the game? Intense speculation about size of cut as markers lean towards 50 bps New dot plot will also be crucial in Wednesday’s decision at 18:00 GMT Fed to join rate-cut club The timing of the Fed’s first interest rate cut of the cycle has been the dominant market theme all year, but since the summer, the narrative has changed to the size of the cut, not when.
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Riset XM - 7 jam yang laluBearish

Technical Analysis – EURJPY seems to have found a floor

EURJPY rebounds off 155.15 Immediate resistance at downtrend line RSI and MACD look negative EURJPY held losses for the second week in a row, dropping towards the 155.15 support, which stands slightly above the more-than-seven-month low. Technically, the price could lose some ground in the short term as the RSI is changing direction to the downside and towards its 30 mark, while the MACD is still standing beneath its trigger and zero lines.
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Riset XM - 23 jam yang lalu

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD

EURUSD speeds up to test 1.1100 area as debate over a bold Fed rate cut continues USDJPY hits 14-month low; BoJ awaited to give direction on rate hikes GBPUSD shifts to the upside ahead of CPI data and BoE rate decision   FOMC rate decision --> EURUSD The Fed will announce its rate decision on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT and the question is not if, but by how much it will cut interest rates.
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Riset XM - 23 jam yang lalu

Could BoE surprise with a rate cut on Thursday? – Preview

BoE meeting concludes on Thursday, the day after the Fed Economists assign an almost zero chance of a rate cut Wednesday’s CPI and the Fed rate cut could lead to a surprise BoE move Pound to benefit from an uneventful meeting BoE will announce its rate decision on Thursday The Bank of England is joining the chorus of the central bank meetings on Thursday.
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Riset XM - 1 hari yang lalu

Technical Analysis – EURUSD holds bullish bias but strong resistance at 1.1150

EURUSD pulls back up off 1.1000 Price surpasses 20-day SMA Technical oscillators tick north EURUSD has gained ground over the last few days, especially after the rebound off the 1.1000 round number, and it managed to hold above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and re-enter the 1.1100 area, with the technical indicators feeding prospects for a possible positive short-term trading.
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Riset XM - 1 hari yang laluBullish

US 500 index holds above 20- and 50-day SMAs Stochastics and RSI turn slightly lower MACD remains above its trigger and zero line The US 500 (cash) index added around 5% so far, following the pullback off 5,385 and posted five consecutive green days. The price is ready to rechallenge the previous peak of 5,650 ahead of the all-time high of 5,673.39. Steeper increases may open the way for a test of the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the latest bearish correction from 5,673.39 t
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Riset XM - 1 hari yang lalu

Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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Riset XM - 1 hari yang laluBearish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY unlocks new 14-month low

USDJPY dives below 140.70 key level Momentum oscillators continue downside pressure USDJPY has declined considerably towards a new 14-month low of 139.56 earlier today, continuing the significant sell-off. The price has been in a bearish tendency since mid-August with the technical oscillators confirming the current move. The MACD oscillator is standing beneath its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI is crossing below the 30 level.
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Riset XM - 1 hari yang laluBullish

Technical Analysis – Gold flies to fresh all-time high near 2,600

Gold posts bullish days Prices find support at 20-day SMA MACD and RSI in positive areas Gold prices are skyrocketing to another fresh all-time high today around 2,589.40 with the next major obstacle coming from the 2,600 round number. The price has recorded an aggressive buying interest over the last couple of days after the strong bounce off the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 2,510. Technically, the MACD oscillator is extending its upside move above its trigger and zero l
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Riset XM - 4 hari yang lalu

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD accelerates after bouncing off 1.3000

GBPUSD remains in positive territory Holds above short-term SMAs Stochastic head up, RSI moves horizontally GBPUSD has staged a crucial rebound off the 1.3000 key level on Wednesday, holding the short-term outlook to bullish. Currently, the pair is meeting the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.3125 with the next resistance levels coming from the almost two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3265 and the peak in March 2022 at 1.3310. However, a significant tumble beneath 1.3000 coul
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Riset XM - 4 hari yang lalu

Week Ahead – Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals Let the Fed cuts begin Since the July US employment report, which sparked fears of recession, investors have been trying to figure out the size of the potential rate cut the Fed will deliver at its September gathering, and the moment of truth has finally come.
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Riset XM - 4 hari yang lalu

Daily Comment – Dollar sinks, gold surges as 50bps Fed cut back in the picture

Soft US PPI and reports of Fed dilemma revive bets of 50bps cut Dollar plunges as yields fall, pushing gold to new all-time high Euro climbs as ECB trims rates but does not signal October cut Fed rate cut expectations swing wildly Expectations of a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September had all been priced out by investors.
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Riset XM - 4 hari yang laluNeutral

Technical Analysis – GBPJPY makes a backflip, but patience needed

GBPJPY resumes negative momentum, but hopes for a pivot remain Sellers need a close below 185.65 to take full control   GBPJPY came under renewed downside pressure after closing Thursday’s session with mild gains around 186.00. The pair shifted from a recent low of 183.70 earlier this week, forming a hammer candlestick and giving hope for a potential upward reversal.
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