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Technical Analysis – US 100 index in anticipation mode ahead of the Fed

US 100 index trades sideways ahead of the Fed meeting It battles with the July 11, 2024 descending trendline Momentum indicators are tentatively bullish The US 100 cash index is moving sideways today, continuing its low volatility sessions, as market participants are staying on the sidelines ahead of the crucial Fed meeting. The first Fed rate cut since March 2020 will most likely be announced later today with speculation being rife about a 50bps rate cut, with arguable impact on s
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What’s the magic in Walmart’s stock? - Stock Markets

Walmart might be lacking the shine of AI stocks, but it's outlook is bright Its AI initiatives could be a blueprint for the retail sector The stock is the winner within the Dow-Jones; next target at $82.40    Corporate taxes come under the spotlight The US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris boosted bets of a Democratic win, with investors growing concerned about potential tax increases on corporate profits and capital gains.
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Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index records another all-time high

US 30 posts several days of gains Price holds near upper band of ascending channel Stochastic looks overbought The US 30 cash index experienced a new all-time high during Monday’s session touching the 41,740 level. The price completed four consecutive green days following the strong rebound off the 40,000 psychological mark and continues to hold near the upper boundary of the upward sloping channel.

US 500 index holds above 20- and 50-day SMAs Stochastics and RSI turn slightly lower MACD remains above its trigger and zero line The US 500 (cash) index added around 5% so far, following the pullback off 5,385 and posted five consecutive green days. The price is ready to rechallenge the previous peak of 5,650 ahead of the all-time high of 5,673.39. Steeper increases may open the way for a test of the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the latest bearish correction from 5,673.39 t
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index halts decline, but will it pivot?

US 500 stock index pauses decline near 100-SMA, but negative risks remain Breaking above 5,600 could positively impact buying sentiment   The US 500 stock index maintained support close to its 100-day simple moving average (SMA) for a second consecutive day, raising hopes that the current bearish phase may soon diminish. From a technical perspective, there are still some negative developments that should be considered.
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Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Technical Analysis – Apple stock holds a bullish bias

Apple capped by 20- and 50-day SMAs Prices stand above uptrend line Momentum oscillators show neutral-to-bullish mode Apple introduced a range of new technologies, including the iPhone 16, on Monday. This device incorporates significant enhancements that the company intends to showcase to users. Currently, the market is trading above the 220 level, failing to drop beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 164 to 236.55 at 219. Immediate resistance is com
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index could see further weakness

US 500 index posts negative days lately Next support at long-term rising trend line Momentum oscillators confirm bearish correction The US 500 cash index is recording the fourth straight negative session, losing more than 3%. The price is currently retreating beneath the 5,565 strong resistance level as well as below the 20- and the 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Nvidia loses August’s wins as recession risks resurface Short-term bias skewed to the downside; more sellers wait below 100.45   Nvidia’s stock has been suffering along with other key tech stocks in the face of renewed recession fears, which could harm AI growth perspectives, losing more than 10% during the previous days. According to pre-market trading, today’s session might be another struggle after the wide miss in the ADP employment data.
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Stocks could suffer after the September Fed rate cut

US labour market data to determine the size of the first Fed rate cut History points to an increased possibility of a 50bps move Analysis reveals sizeable equities’ weakness after the initial cut Following Fed Chairman Powell's appearance at the Jackson Hole Symposium and this indirect announcement of the much-discussed Fed rate cut, the market is counting down to the September 18 meeting.
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index under pressure

US 100 index drops, reversing the August rally Nvidia woes keep sentiment negative Momentum indicators are turning bearish The US 100 cash index is in the red again today, trading back below the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and having surrendered half of its August gains. Nvidia’s underperformance is keeping the index under pressure with the market preparing for this week's key US labour market data releases and counting down to the September 18 Fed meeting.
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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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US 30 index hangs near record high – Stock Markets

US 30 benefits from weaker correlation with tech stocks; holds near record high Downside risks remain, but sentiment still positive above 41,000     The US 30 index has less exposure to AI-related technology companies and that’s partially the reason why it has gained only 9.7% year-to-date versus the double-digit growth of around 19% in the US 500 and US 100 indices.
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US 500 cash index holds above Ichimoku cloud Bullish wave started from 5,090 Stochastic turns higher The US 500 cash index has been travelling near the all-time high of 5,673.39 over the last few sessions, successfully surpassing the Ichimoku cloud, the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) and the long-term uptrend line. In the event the price stays resilient above the 5,565 support, the bulls might push for a close above the record peak and create another higher high.

Nvidia earnings to give AI space another reality check – Stock Markets

Nvidia earnings will be out on August 28 after market close Analysts expect triple-digit growth in revenue and earnings Stock up around 160% in 2024, valuation retains reasonable premium   Nvidia has another stellar year Nvidia has been the top-performing stock of the S&P 500 this year, rising by more than 160%. Clearly, the firm has been capitalising on the strong demand for its AI chips as they appear to be essential tools for all leading players in the Artificial Intell
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index loses steam near July’s barrier

US 30 recoups losses but cannot resume uptrend Short-term bias is positive; confirmation awaited above 40,900 FOMC meeting minutes due at 18:00 GMT   Following a downturn at the beginning of the month, the US 30 index (cash) has made a strong comeback, although it encountered obstacles in surpassing the 40,900 threshold on Tuesday.
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Technical Analysis – Nvidia stock enjoys big recovery. What comes next?

Nvidia’s stock extends exponential rally; pauses slightly below 130 There is potential for more upside as overbought signals not confirmed yet Earnings due on Wednesday, August 28 after market close   Nvidia staged another descent rally along with other tech stocks on Monday, sparking optimism that the ongoing bullish wave is not part of a bearish trend, and that the worst is now behind us as the price violated the tentative descending trendline taken from June’s record high.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index slips after 10% recovery

US 500 index rises above long-term uptrend line 200-day SMA still holds well Stochastic and RSI indicate overstretched market The US 500 cash index recovered by almost 10% from the bearish wave that started from the all-time high of 5,673.39 and is currently returning to a position above the long-term ascending trend line. The index found strong support at the 2,090 support level, which stands near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Was the recent stock market slump an overreaction? – Stock Markets

US indices took a hit after a soft NFP report sparked recessions fears But risk sentiment rebounded, and investors eagerly bought the dip What events may disrupt the market's supposed immunity to downside risks?   V-shaped recovery July’s softer-than-expected NFP report sent shockwaves across all asset classes as fears that the US economy is on the brink of a recession emerged.
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