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Stocks’ euphoria might have legs – Stock Markets

Equity indices react positively to Trump’s winSmall capitalization stocks could benefit furtherEuropean stock indices remain the laggardsFed stance to support current sentiment despite high yieldsTrump’s win pushes stocks higherUS stock indices continue to dance to the tune of Trump’s return to the White House. The initial reaction was positive with the S&P 500 index climbing by around 2.5%, as the pre-election rhetoric about significant tax cuts contributed to the improved market sent
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Could markets relive the 2016 post-election day performance?

Euro/dollar could suffer if 2016 repeats itselfUS stocks could further benefit from Trump’s winGold and bitcoin might move in opposite directionEuro/dollar volatility could rise furtherTrump wins a second termFormer President Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, achieving a noticeable comeback following the 2020 defeat. The market reaction has been mostly within expectations, with the dollar gaining across the board, gold suffering and bitcoin enjoying strong gains.While market partic
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index skyrockets after Trump’s victory

US 30 index extends upside move above SMAsStochastics and RSI turn upThe US 30 cash index is rallying more than 2% today during Trump’s victory in the US elections, sending the market towards the previous all-time high of 43,575.The technical oscillators are mirroring the latest strong bullish momentum, with the stochastic posting a positive
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Volatility remains high as US voters elect a new president – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices experience a jump in volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to a new 30-day high, as market participants are preparing for the US presidential election and Thursday’s Fed meeting. This heightened volatility is being observed across the FX space, including in the yen pairs.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index recoups some losses in short-term

US 500 index rebounds off 50-day SMARSI and MACD weaken their momentumThe US 500 index has paused its bearish correction near the 5,720 support level and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).The price is currently standing beneath the short-term uptrend line, with the technical oscillators indicating weakening momentum. The RSI is moving sideways beneath the neutral threshold of 50, while the MACD is heading south below its trigger line and near the zero level.In case of steeper decreases, it
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Tech rally turns to selloff ahead of NFP and US election - Stock Markets

S&P 500 headed for second weekly dip as gains turn to lossesNasdaq pulls back from record highs as AI jitters returnApple earnings add to outlook worries but Amazon impressesTech rally stumblesIt’s been a turbulent week for Wall Street as, despite a positive start, renewed concerns about excessive spending on artificial intelligence (AI) dragged Big Tech stocks lower mid-week.
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US 500 index stands below 20-day SMAMACD and RSI lose momentumThe US 500 (cash) index is tumbling beneath the 5,830 region, approaching the short-term uptrend line, which has been drawn since the beginning of August. A plunge below this line could send traders towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 5,740 before meeting the restrictive re
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US 100 index trades sideways ahead of key US data printsIt continues to battle with the October 26, 2023 trendlineMomentum indicators are less bullish at this stageThe US 100 cash index is moving sideways again today, as market participants are preparing for this week’s key US data releases and earnings reports. The bullish trend since the August 5 low remains firmly in place, supported by a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the October 26, 2023 ascending trendline proving to be str
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Volatility jumps as markets prepare for action-packed period – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices continue to experience average volatility Euro/dollar volatility continues to increase, achieving a new 30-day high, as the markets are preparing for Friday’s jobs report, and next week’s US presidential election and the Fed meeting.
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Nasdaq 100 braces for a huge US data week - Stock Markets

Nasdaq 100 loses some ground after six-week bullish streakMagnificent Seven report earnings, US data to adjust rate cut estimatesNasdaq 100 Weekly PerformanceThe Nasdaq 100 is set to finish the week mildly lower by 0.46%, breaking a six-week non-stop rally as with the other major US indices. Despite flying back above the 20,000 level though, it could not surpass July’s all-time high of 20,690, raising speculation about whether the slight technical pullback could develop into something ugl
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Volatility remains elevated in FX space and commodities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility reaches new 30-day highVolatility in both gold and silver jumpsStock indices continue to experience average volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to the highest level of the past month, as the ECB delivered its much-expected rate cut and the discussion about the November Fed meeting is underway. But more importantly, the market is preparing for the November 5 US presidential election.
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US 100 index maintains buying interestBulls need a close above 20,550-20,680Bears wait below 20,000   The US 100 index continues to hover above the key 20,000 level, following a pullback from a three-month high of 20,499 on Monday, signaling that buying interest is still alive.Technical indicators suggest potential for further gains, with the RSI showing signs of rebound and stochastic oscillators looking for an upside reversal.
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Tech earnings take center stage – Stock Markets

Magnificent seven start to report earnings as Wall Street hovers near all-time highQ3 earnings from Netflix, Tesla, and Amazon are on the weekly agendaWall Street has been on fire recently, reaching new heights as the earnings season for Q3 kicked off with a bang, with investors cheering on bank profit beats and China's fresh fiscal spending announcement fueling more optimism across the board.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co reported record earnings, helping to cushion the blow from ASM
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Wall Street greets Q3 earnings season with record highs – Stock Markets

Shares on Wall Street extend record streak as earnings get into full swingBut trading remains choppy amid elections, geopolitical and earnings risksAnother record highThe S&P 500 notched up its 46th record close of the year on Monday, sealing a positive start to the week as the new earnings season slowly heats up. Initial forecasts for Q3 put the earnings growth rate at 4.1%, but that figure could well rise as 79% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten their earni
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Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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Technical Analysis – Netflix stock retreats somewhat ahead of earnings release

Netflix remains in a bullish mode in long-term viewMACD and RSI lose steamNetflix stock is set to release its earnings on October 17 while the price added more than 25% following the rebound from the 590 support level, taking the market towards a fresh high of 734. Currently, the price is retreating, meeting the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 710.From a technical perspective, the MACD oscillator is losing some momentum, dropping beneath its trigger line above the zero level.
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Technical Analysis – US 30 index celebrates another record high

US 30 index strengthens uptrend to all-time high of 42,904Short-term bias is positive, but the way up may not be straightThe US 30 index (cash) hit an all-time high of 42,904 in less than a month on Friday and closed above the constraining line at 42,550, raising confidence that its record rally has more room to go.Having bounced off its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), the bulls may face immediate resistance within the 43,155-43,500 constraining region given the overbought signals comin
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Wall Street hovers near record highs ahead of earnings season – Stock Markets

Stocks remain supported despite recovery in US dollar and yieldsEarnings are expected to grow in Q3, but at a slower pace than in Q2 Investors remain cautious ahead of US electionBut VIX suggests increasing volatility around the eventGood news is actually good newsAlthough investors have significantly scaled back their Fed rate cut bets lately, Wall Street’s benchmark indices did not suffer.
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Volatility skyrockets across the board after an eventful week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges to the highest level of the monthVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly highStock indices experience very high volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has reached the highest level of the past 30 days, as the FX market was rocked by the strong US labour market report, denting the possibility of another 50bps Fed rate cut in November.
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JP 225 index remains above uptrend lineRSI and MACD are mixedThe JP 225 cash index has reversed from the 40,000 psychological level, flirting with the red Tenkan sen line of the Ichimoku indicator and the short-term uptrend line.However, for now the technical oscillators reflect contradicting signals. The MACD, in the positive area is rising above its trigger lines, while the RSI is flattening above the neutral threshold of 50.If sellers sink deeper immediate support could come from the 100- and
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