Dollar firm after Powell pushes back on aggressive easing bets
Fed Chair Powell says not 'in a hurry' to lower rates
Euro on back foot as cooling inflation backs rate cuts
Yen steadies as traders assess incoming Japanese PM
Aussie firm on Beijing stimulus as China starts week-long holiday
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, Oct 1 (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar gained against major peers on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed back overnight against bets on more supersized interest rate cuts.
The euro traded not far from Monday's one-week low following a drop in German inflation to the lowest since early 2021, boosting speculation about another rate reduction this month.
The yen steadied close to the middle of its range against the dollar over the past month, after a volatile two days as traders sized up Japan's incoming prime minister and his cabinet.
Australia's dollar caught its breath following its push to the highest since February of last year on Monday, buoyed by stimulus in the country's top trading partner, China.
The Fed's Powell adopted a more hawkish tone in a speech at a conference in Tennessee, saying the U.S. central bank would likely stick with quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts moving forward. "This is not a committee that feels like it is in a hurry to cut rates quickly," he said.
Traders remain certain that the Fed will cut again at the next policy setting meeting in November, but slashed expectations for a 50 basis-point (bp) reduction to 35.4% from 53.3% a day earlier, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
The Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a larger-than-expected half-point reduction last month.
Powell's speech came ahead of a heavy week of U.S. data, including the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index later on Tuesday and non-manufacturing report on Thursday, followed by Friday's potentially crucial monthly jobs figures.
"Powell did say that the speed with which the Fed cut rates will depend on the data, so clearly not ruling out the prospect of further 50 bps moves in future," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.
"Friday's payrolls data may yet prove decisive as to which way the Fed's axe falls."
The dollar index =USD added 0.07% to 100.85 as of 0055 GMT, after pushing 0.3% higher on Monday.
It rose 0.23% to 143.95 yen JPY=EBS, after whipsawing from as high as 146.495 yen on Friday to as low as 141.65 yen on Monday.
Shigeru Ishiba, due to be confirmed as Japan's new premier later on Tuesday, is seen by markets as a monetary policy hawk, despite a recent toning down of rhetoric on the need for policy normalisation.
He won his party's leadership vote on Friday in one of the closest-ever races, and is now attempting to unify the party after calling a snap general election for Oct. 27.
The euro EUR=EBS was flat at $1.1132 after dropping as low as $1.1113 in the previous session.
Data on Monday showed inflation in Germany cooled more than expected in September to its slowest rate since February 2021. Inflation also slowed in Italy.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde told parliament "the latest developments strengthen our confidence that inflation will return to target in a timely manner," and this should be reflected in the Oct. 17 policy decision.
The Aussie AUD=D3 was little changed at $0.6914, after advancing to $0.69435 on Monday.
Over the weekend, China's central bank ordered lenders to lower mortgage rates by the end of October. A slew of mega-cities such as Guangzhou, Shanghai and Shenzhen also dramatically eased home-buying restrictions.
The yuan eased on Tuesday to 7.0116 per dollar in offshore trading CNH=D3, after sliding about 0.36% overnight on the prospect of further monetary easing.
China begins its Golden Week holiday from Tuesday, when onshore financial markets will be shut.
World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Jamie Freed
Aset Terkait
Berita Terbaru
Pengungkapan: Entitas XM Group menyediakan layanan khusus eksekusi dan akses ke Fasilitas Trading Online kami, yang memungkinkan Anda untuk melihat dan/atau menggunakan konten yang tersedia pada atau melalui situs, yang tidak untuk mengubah atau memperluas, serta tidak mengubah atau memperluas hal tersebut. Akses dan penggunaan ini selalu sesuai dengan: (i) Syarat dan Ketentuan; (ii) Peringatan Risiko; dan (iii) Pengungkapan Penuh. Oleh karena itu, konten disediakan hanya sebagai informasi umum. Anda juga harus ketahui bahwa konten Fasilitas Trading Online kami bukan sebagai ajakan atau tawaran untuk untuk melakukan transaksi apa pun di pasar finansial. Trading di pasar finansial mana pun melibatkan tingkat risiko yang signifikan pada modal Anda.
Semua materi yang diterbitkan di Fasilitas Trading Online kami hanya untuk tujuan edukasi/informasi dan tidak boleh mengandung nasihat dan rekomendasi finansial, pajak investasi atau trading, catatan harga trading kami, penawaran, permintaan, transaksi dalam instrumen finansial apa pun atau promo finansial untuk Anda yang tidak diminta.
Konten pihak ketiga apa pun, serta konten yang disiapkan oleh XM, seperti opini, berita, riset, analisis, harga, informasi lain atau link ke situs pihak ketiga yang tersedia "sebagaimana adanya", sebagai komentar pasar umum dan bukan menjadi nasihat investasi. Sejauh konten apa pun ditafsirkan sebagai penelitian investasi, Anda harus memperhatikan dan menerima bahwa konten tersebut tidak dimaksudkan dan belum disiapkan sesuai dengan persyaratan hukum yang dirancang untuk mempromosikan kemandirian riset investasi dan dengan demikian akan dianggap sebagai komunikasi pemasaran di bawah hukum dan peraturan yang relevan. Mohon dipastikan bahwa Anda telah membaca dan memahami Notifikasi pada Riset Investasi Non-Independen dan Peringatan Risiko kami mengenai informasi di atas, yang dapat diakses disini.
