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Wall Street muted as investors look to Fed after stocks recovery



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Updates with U.S. market open

Wall Street stocks tick up

Weak dollar lifts euro above $1.11 for first time this year

Oil steadier, gold holds near record high

All eyes on Fed's Powell on Friday

JD.com shares down as Walmart seeks to sell stake

By Lawrence Delevingne and Huw Jones

Aug 21 (Reuters) -Global shares idled on Wednesday after a lengthy rebound propelled them towards recent lifetime highs, and as investors awaited clues on interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve on Friday to decide on their next move.

Oil LCOc1 was steady after a run of declines driven by expectations of reduced Chinese demand, while dollar weakness on the prospect of rate cuts kept gold near Tuesday's record high.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 0.25%, to 40,935, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.22%, to 5,609 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC gained 0.2%, to 17,852.

The MSCI All Country index for global stocks .MIWD00000PUS ticked up about 0.2%, near its mid-July lifetime high and up 13.6% for the year.

In Europe, the STOXX .STOXX index of 600 companies was up 0.3%, nearing its all-time high reached on June 7.

Stocks have been on a rollercoaster ride this month after investors took fright following U.S. jobs data that raised the prospect of recession in the world's biggest economy.

Those worries have given way to bets on a soft landing cushioned by cuts in U.S. borrowing costs expected to start in September.

Preliminary revisions to U.S. labour data are due to be published after the opening bell on Wall Street. A large downward revision is expected, which would support the case for cutting interest rates.

Fed meeting minutes are also expected later on Wednesday to reinforce a dovish stance ahead of a speech from the central bank's chair Jerome Powell on Friday.

"We expect the Fed chairman to continue to signal that a first rate cut is on the cards for September. Yet there is a chance that investors could be disappointed by the comments, if there are any references to the stickiness of inflation," said Guy Stear, head of developed markets strategy at Amundi Investment Institute.

Interest rate futures have fully priced in a 25 basis point U.S. rate cut next month, with a 1 in 3 chance of a 50 bps cut. Almost 100 bps in cuts are priced in for this year, and another 100 bps next year. FEDWATCH

A potentially unique situation beckons with material rate cuts without a recession, unlike the backdrop for cutting borrowing costs in five of the past seven cutting cycles, said Ross Yarrow, U.S. equities managing director at investment bank Baird.

"If we get a scenario where the Fed is cutting, inflation is falling and employment continues to rise, it really does start to look like a Goldilocks scenario," Yarrow said.

"So I think the rebound in equities and their prospects from here are actually pretty good," Yarrow said.

Markets may still be constrained, said Sameer Samana, senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

"We see markets are range-bound until after the November elections," Samana wrote in an email.




WALMART SELLS JD.COM STAKE

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.38%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HIS slid 0.7% with JD.com 9618.HK dropping 8.7% as top shareholder Walmart WMD.N moved to sell its large stake.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell 0.3% as a recovery from its collapse in early August runs into resistance around the 38,000 level.

The falling dollar has spurred gold to record highs and returned the yen JPY=EBS to 145.63 per dollar, a gain of nearly 3% so far this month following last month's 38-year trough.

The euro EUR=EBS is also up nearly 3% for August to date and, at $1.111, is at its highest since early December. FRX/

The mood kept bond markets supported and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields US10YT=RR were little changed at 3.801%.

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, regaining some ground after steady sell-offs. U.S. crude CLc1 gained 0.57% to $73.58 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 rose to $77.58 per barrel, up 0.49% on the day.

Dalian iron ore prices climbed more than 4% after a Bloomberg report that China plans to allow local governments to buy unsold homes in the latest property-market support measure.

China is the world's biggest steel consumer and markets are sensitive to any signs that construction there could revive.

Gold prices XAU= hovered around $2,500 an ounce, just below record levels touched on Tuesday.


World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

U.S. stocks back up to levels seen before early August selloff https://tmsnrt.rs/4dT7Pkx


Reporting by Lawrence Delevingne in Boston and Huw Jones in London; additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore. Editing by Kim Coghill, Bernadette Baum, Christina Fincher and Barbara Lewis

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets
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