Stocks, FX flat with China's 'Third Plenum', possible Trump 2.0 in focus
Updated at 0910 GMT
S&P to wait until August to make key Kenya rating call
Hungary central banker says July rate cut an "open question"
Thailand approves $2.8 bln soft loan scheme for commercial banks
S.Africa to cut interest rates in September, Poll shows
Stocks off 0.2%, FX flat
By Johann M Cherian
July 16 (Reuters) -Most emerging markets stocks and currencies were flat to slightly lower on Tuesday, as investors awaited details on reforms out of China and assessed the implications of a second Donald Trump presidency in the U.S.
MSCI's index tracking bourses in developing economies .MSCIEF slipped 0.2%.
China's Shanghai stock index .SSEC closed flat, while Hong Kong stocks .HSI notched its second-straight day in losses. Caution loomed with the 'Third Plenum' under way, at the end of which markets expect the Communist Party to outline reforms to support the local embattled economy.
Investors were also focused on the fallout on inflation and trade in developing economies if former President Donald Trump wins a second term.
"It would be perfectly reasonable to argue that Trump 2.0 would be negative for export oriented EM economies, in particular those that rely strongly on China," Piotr Matys, senior FX analyst at In Touch Capital Markets.
Matys said Trump's fiscal policies are seen as inflationary, which would limit scope for manoeuvre for the Federal Reserve.
An index tracking currencies .MIEM00000CUS was not trading far from the flat mark. The index has been trading tepidly over the past six weeks as uncertainty looms on the timing of the interest-rate cut.
In central and eastern Europe, Hungary's forint EURHUF= was flat relative to the euro. A possible further small reduction in Hungary's base rate is an "open question" for the central bank at its policy meeting next week, Deputy Governor Barnabas Virag said.
South Africa's rand ZAR= edged up 0.2%, from a 1.4% drop in the previous session. A Reuters poll showed the domestic central bank might cut rates by 25 basis points in September as inflation cools.
Kenya's shilling EURKES= weakened 0.3% against the euro, while yield on 5-year sovereign bonds KE5YT=RR climbed 15 basis points (bps).
Ratings agency S&P Global said it plans to wait until a scheduled review date on Aug. 23 to decide whether to cut the east-African nation's sovereign credit rating.
Against the backdrop of a slow economic recovery, Thailand's cabinet approved a $2.8 billion soft loan scheme where commercial banks could lend to borrowers at below-market rates. The baht THB= was flat against the dollar, while local equities .SETI lost 0.5%.
A stress test of banking systems in Zambia, Ghana, Rwanda, Morocco and Mauritius found some lenders in the region could face collapse if nature loss slashes the profits of agriculture and forestry firms they have lent to.
Rwanada's franc EURRWF=R was muted against the euro, as early results from presidential elections put incumbent Paul Kagame in the lead, while Syria's pound EURSYP=R was flat, with parliamentary elections expected to yield few surprises.
For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance in 2024 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance in 2024 https://tmsnrt.rs/2OusNdX
Reporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur
For TOP NEWS across emerging markets nTOPEMRG
For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see CEE/
For TURKISH market report, see .IS
For RUSSIAN market report, see RU/RUB
Aset Terkait
Berita Terbaru
Pengungkapan: Entitas XM Group menyediakan layanan khusus eksekusi dan akses ke Fasilitas Trading Online kami, yang memungkinkan Anda untuk melihat dan/atau menggunakan konten yang tersedia pada atau melalui situs, yang tidak untuk mengubah atau memperluas, serta tidak mengubah atau memperluas hal tersebut. Akses dan penggunaan ini selalu sesuai dengan: (i) Syarat dan Ketentuan; (ii) Peringatan Risiko; dan (iii) Pengungkapan Penuh. Oleh karena itu, konten disediakan hanya sebagai informasi umum. Anda juga harus ketahui bahwa konten Fasilitas Trading Online kami bukan sebagai ajakan atau tawaran untuk untuk melakukan transaksi apa pun di pasar finansial. Trading di pasar finansial mana pun melibatkan tingkat risiko yang signifikan pada modal Anda.
Semua materi yang diterbitkan di Fasilitas Trading Online kami hanya untuk tujuan edukasi/informasi dan tidak boleh mengandung nasihat dan rekomendasi finansial, pajak investasi atau trading, catatan harga trading kami, penawaran, permintaan, transaksi dalam instrumen finansial apa pun atau promo finansial untuk Anda yang tidak diminta.
Konten pihak ketiga apa pun, serta konten yang disiapkan oleh XM, seperti opini, berita, riset, analisis, harga, informasi lain atau link ke situs pihak ketiga yang tersedia "sebagaimana adanya", sebagai komentar pasar umum dan bukan menjadi nasihat investasi. Sejauh konten apa pun ditafsirkan sebagai penelitian investasi, Anda harus memperhatikan dan menerima bahwa konten tersebut tidak dimaksudkan dan belum disiapkan sesuai dengan persyaratan hukum yang dirancang untuk mempromosikan kemandirian riset investasi dan dengan demikian akan dianggap sebagai komunikasi pemasaran di bawah hukum dan peraturan yang relevan. Mohon dipastikan bahwa Anda telah membaca dan memahami Notifikasi pada Riset Investasi Non-Independen dan Peringatan Risiko kami mengenai informasi di atas, yang dapat diakses disini.