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Australia, NZ dollars draw support from data surprises

Australia, NZ dollars draw support from data surprises By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar recouped early losses on Thursday as an upbeat jobs report helped offset broad gains in its U.S. counterpart, while news on the New Zealand economy proved slightly less dire than feared. The Aussie was back at $0.6765 AUD=D3 , off a low of $0.6738. It had briefly been as high as $0.6820 overnight after the Federal Reserve cut U.S.
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Australian dollar hits two-week peak before Fed rate verdict

Australian dollar hits two-week peak before Fed rate verdict SYDNEY, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar hit a two-week top on Wednesday due to wagers that the Federal Reserve could kick-start its easing cycle with a big move, although that is far from certain and those gains could easily evaporate. The Aussie AUD=D3 climbed to as far as $0.6773, the highest since Sept.
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Australia, NZ dollars get timely support from US rate bets

Australia, NZ dollars get timely support from US rate bets By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 17 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars held firm on Tuesday having got a lift from wagers on an outsized U.S. rate cut this week, which helped both currencies dodge a bearish break of chart bulwarks. The Aussie was steady at $0.6747 AUD=D3 , having bounced 0.7% overnight from support at $0.6689. Resistance now lies at $0.6767 and $0.6823. The kiwi dollar idled at $0.6190 NZD=D3 , after also rally
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Australia, NZ dollars struggle for direction at start of pivotal Fed week

Australia, NZ dollars struggle for direction at start of pivotal Fed week SYDNEY, Sept 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars struggled for direction on Monday amid thin liquidity, although their near-term fate is almost entirely riding on the size of the U.S. rate cut this week, with bets of a large half-point move boosting bonds. Holidays in China, Japan, South Korea and Indonesia made for thin conditions.
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Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gain as equities, commodities rally

Australia, NZ dlrs set for weekly gain as equities, commodities rally SYDNEY, Sept 13 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were headed for weekly gains on Friday following a rally in equities and commodities, while revived bets for an outsized U.S. rate cut next week also weighed on the greenback. The Aussie AUD=D3 held at $0.6727, having jumped 0.7% overnight to move further away from a one-month low of $0.6620 hit earlier in the week.
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Australia, NZ dollars find support as risk sentiment steadies

Australia, NZ dollars find support as risk sentiment steadies SYDNEY, Sept 12 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars found some support on Thursday as a rebound in world stock markets and expectations for a European rate cut helped steady risk sentiment. The European Central Bank is considered certain to ease by 25 basis points later on Thursday with the only question being whether it leaves the door open to cuts in October and December as well.
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The EUR/USD directional bias according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT- The EUR/USD directional bias according to FX options Sept 11 (Reuters) - FX options thrive on FX volatility and rapid directional moves and, because they are forward looking, their price action can offer clues for the near-term outlook. Implied volatility serves as a proxy for the unknown but crucial element in option premiums: realized FX volatility.
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Australia, NZ dlrs wary as US inflation to impact easing outlook

Australia, NZ dlrs wary as US inflation to impact easing outlook By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on hold on Wednesday awaiting U.S. inflation figures that could affect the pace of policy easing there, while both currencies continued to lose ground to the safe-haven Japanese yen. The Aussie was flat at $0.6656 AUD=D3 , having barely moved overnight.
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Australia, NZ dollars struggle on weak China imports, local job worries

Australia, NZ dollars struggle on weak China imports, local job worries SYDNEY, Sept 10 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the defensive on Tuesday, pressured by persistent concerns about China's economy and worries about a sharp slowdown in the labour market Down Under. The Aussie AUD=D3 was subdued at $0.6657, having dipped 0.2% overnight.
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EUR/USD topside momentum fades, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-EUR/USD topside momentum fades, according to FX options Sept 9 (Reuters) - Before Friday's U.S. jobs data, price action in FX options was clearly concerned about EUR/USD breaking/extending the recent 14-month high at 1.1201 , but not any more. Option trade flows had seen strong demand and premium gains for sub 1-month expiry 1.1200-1.1300 strikes, which allow holders to buy EUR/USD at those levels if better than the spot price at expiry.
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Australia, NZ dlrs steady after selling, bond rally stalls

Australia, NZ dlrs steady after selling, bond rally stalls SYDNEY, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars steadied on Monday after last week's sell-off driven by fears of a U.S. economic downturn slugged risk assets, while a rally in bonds lost momentum. The Aussie AUD=D3 bounced 0.2% at $0.6685, having slid 1.4% last week as data showed the U.S.
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Australia, NZ dollars long for clarity on US rates, recession risk

Australia, NZ dollars long for clarity on US rates, recession risk By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 6 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars held still on Friday ahead of U.S. jobs data that should help clarify the risk of recession and the pace of rate cuts there, ensuring major fallout for global risk assets. The Aussie was flat at $0.6739 AUD=D3 , having eased 0.4% for the week.
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Australian dollar supported as RBA sticks to hawkish stance

Australian dollar supported as RBA sticks to hawkish stance By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar held steady on Thursday after the country's central bank stuck to its hawkish guidance on interest rates despite soft economic numbers, helping to offset risk aversion in global markets. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock used a speech to reiterate that a rate cut was unlikely in the near term given stubborn inflationary pressures.
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Long gamma helps to contain EUR/USD pre NFP

BUZZ-COMMENT-Long gamma helps to contain EUR/USD pre NFP Sept 4 (Reuters) - The EUR/USD options market is said be long gamma, which can help to explain why EUR/USD spot is trading a very limited range in the mid 1.10's before Friday's key U.S. non-farm payrolls data. Long gamma can be derived from an abundance of vanilla option positions, typically with shorter dated expiries and strikes close to the current spot rate.
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Australia, NZ dollars on defensive as risk assets hammered

Australia, NZ dollars on defensive as risk assets hammered By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the defensive on Wednesday as a sell off on Wall Street hammered risk-sensitive currencies, while a weak reading on the domestic economy provided another reason to sell. Adding to the pressure was weakness in commodity prices led by a near 5% dive in oil overnight, while iron ore futures suffered their largest one-day slide in almost two years.
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Australian dollar buoyant versus yen, shrugs off soft data ahead of GDP

Australian dollar buoyant versus yen, shrugs off soft data ahead of GDP SYDNEY, Sept 3 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was buoyant on Tuesday after gaining on the Japanese yen, while shrugging off another fall in iron ore prices and local data that highlighted the softness of economic growth. The Aussie eased 0.2% to $0.6776 AUD=D3 , having gained 0.4% overnight to as high as $0.6794. Major resistance lies at $0.6824, the peak from last week, while support is around $0.6752. It was in part due
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Australia, NZ dlrs slip after bumper August, outlook uncertain

Australia, NZ dlrs slip after bumper August, outlook uncertain SYDNEY, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped on Monday after ending August with hefty gains, with investors eyeing U.S. jobs data for clues into the size of the anticipated September Fed rate cut, as well as local economic data. The Aussie held at $0.6762 AUD=D3 , having scaled a fresh eight-month top of $0.6823 last week which left it 3.4% firmer last month.
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Australia, NZ currencies hold hefty monthly gains as US dollar wanes

Australia, NZ currencies hold hefty monthly gains as US dollar wanes By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 30 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were looking to close out the month with sizable gains on Friday as breaks of major chart barriers drew momentum buyers against a U.S. currency saddled with aggressive rate cut expectations. The Aussie stood at $0.6797 AUD=D3 after touching a fresh eight-month top of $0.6823, leaving it 3.9% firmer for the month.
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FX options reveal crucial EUR/USD topside indicators

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options reveal crucial EUR/USD topside indicators Aug 29 (Reuters) - Forward looking FX options thrive on FX volatility and rapid directional moves, so their price action can reflect the perceived outlook for a currency pair. There have been some changes in the EUR/USD outlook in regard to further gains. FX volatility is an unknown, yet key, part of an FX option premium, so implied volatility is used as a substitute.
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Australia, NZ dollars maintain upside momentum as resistance buckles

Australia, NZ dollars maintain upside momentum as resistance buckles By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 29 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were well supported near eight-month highs on Thursday as their U.S. counterpart remained under broad pressure and momentum buyers looked to break another layer of chart barriers. The Aussie held at $0.6793 AUD=D3 , just off a top of $0.6812. Support now lies around $0.6759 and $0.6695, with $0.6871 the next major bull target.
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